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Sunday: We’re Going LIVE with Pete Buttigieg

16 October 2026 at 22:07

Join us this Sunday night for a Bulwark LIVEstream featuring Pete Buttigieg + the gang broadcasting live from Charlotte. This livestream is exclusively for Bulwark+ members.

Tune in from the comfort of your couch to watch Sarah interview Pete in front of a live audience. The rest of the gang—Tim, Sam, JVL—and Bulwark favorites Lauren Egan and Catherine Rampell will be there too.

The show starts at 7:00p.m. EDT on Sunday, October 18.

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Alan Cumming and Robert Garcia: The Traitors Running Our Government

16 October 2026 at 21:33

For more than 10 years, Trump has been showing us how skilled he is at sowing division and riling people up. Alan sees the kind of tribal mentality that Trump has fostered on his own reality show, "The Traitors," where contestants make incredibly stupid decisions because they don't want to deviate from the pack. The actor takes the opportunity to urge people to vote, protest, and stay vigilant in the face of the Republicans' campaigns of hate against immigrants and trans people. (And that includes Vance's dumb, dated gay jokes.) Plus: Rep. Garcia of the House Oversight Committee is preparing to get the gavel in January. He's already teed up new Epstein legislation, and he's planning to end the cover-up of 3 million Epstein documents, many of which have to do with Donald Trump. Also on the target list: the Trump family's business deals and the donors to the ballroom.

Alan Cumming and Rep. Robert Garcia join Tim Miller for the weekend pod.

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Ad-free editions of The Bulwark Daily are available exclusively for Bulwark+ members.

Tim Miller’s Bulwark Daily is available wherever you get podcasts and on YouTube. New shows drop each weekday afternoon. If you like the show, leave a comment and ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ wherever you listen.

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BREAKING: Trump Fires New Press Secretary After Five Days (w/ Judd Legum)

16 October 2026 at 21:25

This is something you won’t find anywhere else: firsthand reporting from the journalist who investigated the story, paired with the perspective of someone who’s actually worked inside Trump’s White House. Become a Bulwark member to support more conversations like this.

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Five days. That’s how long Katie Zachariah lasted as Trump’s White House press secretary before a disastrous debut, questions about her legal credentials, and a wave of West Wing backstabbing brought her tenure to an abrupt end. Former Trump White House deputy press secretary Sarah Matthews joins Andrew Egger and Judd Legum, whose reporting helped expose Zachariah’s questionable résumé, to explain how it all fell apart, why Trump bears the blame, and what this fiasco reveals about the chaos returning to his White House in the second term.

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The Trump Corruption Poll That Should Terrify the White House

16 October 2026 at 20:44

A quick note: There’s no shortage of people telling you Trump is corrupt. Catherine brings the numbers, the evidence, and, well, the receipts. Support that kind of journalism by becoming a Bulwark member.

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Even Republicans are starting to notice Trump’s staggering corruption. Catherine Rampell and JVL take on the latest scandals engulfing Trump’s inner circle, new polling showing his own voters recognize the grift, and the economic damage being inflicted on ordinary Americans while Trump’s friends cash in.

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The Tigers-Eating-Faces Party Is Real

16 October 2026 at 18:13
(Photo illustration by Sarah Rogers/The Bulwark | Photos: Getty, Shutterstock, Truth Social)

Before we start: Katie Zacharia got turned inside out by Sean Hannity last night. This morning she bombed on . . . Fox & Friends. At this point I legitimately don’t know if she’ll make it to Election Day.

But there’s good news! Trump could just move her over to the Shield of the Americas, because one of the fake jobs at that fake organization just opened up.


1. The Tiger King

Three days ago the president of the United States posted a snuff film.

On October 10 a mentally troubled man visiting the Yorkshire Wildlife Park climbed into a tiger’s enclosure. The tiger killed him. Onlookers recorded the mauling. Somehow this video made it to the retinas of America’s commander-in-chief, who was, presumably, taking a short break from losing his war against Iran.

President Trump then shared this footage with the world.

One minute later—literally, a single minute—the president posted another video. This one was a medley of tigers and lions mauling people. I wonder how Trump had this video so close at hand. Maybe it was in his favorites. Maybe in a special folder.

At least three of these five clips were AI-generated. Here’s another question: Did the president of the United States know that this video, which he had—miraculously! right there!—was half-fake?

Time passed. Seven hours later President Trump posted a third video. This one was entirely AI-generated. It began with Trump in the same position as the dead Englishman, sitting while a tiger pawed at him.

Only in this video Donald Trump feints a smack at the tiger, jumps up from his sitting position, chases the tiger across the grass, tackles it, forces it to submit, and finally stands up, raising the tiger on its hind legs to join him in a bro-hug. Just two kings of the jungle, having a good time. Though one of them is clearly dominant.

I hope you enjoyed this little excursion through the psyche of the man who controls America’s nuclear arsenal.

But as we often say around here: Just wait. It gets worse. SO MUCH worse.

No, really. This paywall is practically a content warning. Because after you read the rest, you’ll never be able to unsee it.

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What Would Stephen Miller Do? Dems Wargame Election Defense

16 October 2026 at 16:45
(Photo illustration by Sarah Rogers/The Bulwark | Photos: Getty, Shutterstock)

PRESIDENT TRUMP IS ALREADY laying the predicate for interfering with the polls this November, from rhetorical and regulatory attacks on voting by mail to frenetic searches by his administration for non-citizens on state voter rolls, most recently in Nevada and California. One of the most threatening possibilities is that the Department of Homeland Security will deploy ICE or other armed agents to polling locations. The Trump administration denies planning such a move, but that hasn’t stopped opposition groups from gaming out scenarios and making contingency plans.

In late May, staff from the offices of Democratic state attorneys general and secretaries of state gathered in Milwaukee to wargame the threat of federal intrusion in state elections, including ICE agents showing up at the polls, according to one attendee.

Then in August, Hillary Clinton invited three dozen legal experts, elected officials, labor leaders, and cable news figures to Washington, D.C. to think through possible electoral chicanery by the administration and develop methods to ensure election integrity.

Beyond these tabletop exercises, pro-democracy activists have organized massive projects to train thousands of “democracy protectors” to observe polling places. In mid-September, state Democratic parties announced the New Battlefield Project to recruit and train poll watchers. Likewise, Vote Safe, a campaign by veteran civil rights and advocacy organizations, is working to deploy hundreds of observers to heavily Latino and black counties in states with competitive Senate races.

The purpose of the exercises is to build connections between lawyers and groups on the ground—including some that didn’t exist two years ago.

STEPHEN RICHER ATTENDED THE SIMULATIONS in Milwaukee in May. As a Republican who served as the top election official in Maricopa County, Arizona’s most populous county and the site of razor-thin election margins seemingly every cycle, Richer received death threats for upholding the 2020 election results. “One of the reasons I’m invited is I know how elections are administered,” he told me.

He said participants in the wargame sessions regularly consider the possibility of ICE arriving at the polls within the first hour. Some possible responses Richer has seen include asking the courts for an injunction to remove ICE from the voting location, establishing a hotline to report sightings, and stationing observers at the polls.

Richer offered a note of reassurance. “I don’t mean to discount the very real anxiety that this could produce for voters, and arguably already has for voters, but logistically, ICE blanketing the states is far-fetched,” he said.

States would potentially have legal recourse after ICE-induced voting disruption. Richer notes that non-malicious election day occurrences, such as losing power, have led to district court orders to keep a voting location open past its scheduled closing time. Interference, he said, like Trump posting a targeted threat online or violence near a voting location, would likely result in the polls staying open longer.

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THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION’S INSISTENCE that ICE won’t be at the polls is less than iron-clad. “I can’t guarantee that an ICE agent won’t be around a polling location in November,” former White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said in February. “But what I can tell you is I haven’t heard the president discuss any formal plans to put ICE outside of polling locations.”

In September, Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin said ICE could be at certain polling places if there is a specific threat or to serve a warrant.

Others in the MAGA universe have been more direct. Steve Bannon, Trump’s former chief strategist, said early this year that the way to prevent “another” stolen election is for ICE to “surround the polls.”

But immigration agents at polling places is just one of the possibilities Democrats are preparing for.

A FOIA request filed by the Democratic National Committee in August revealed an email from a DHS border security official to Under Secretary of Homeland Security Rob Law that included a lengthy compilation of state laws governing bilingual election requirements. NPR reported that one of the people copied on the email was Heather Honey, the person leading administration efforts to root out noncitizen voting. The DNC said the email strongly suggests an attempt by the Trump administration to target prosecutions based on the presence of bilingual election resources. The DNC filed eleven FOIA requests this summer, and it has sued the Trump administration over its failure to respond.

“Donald Trump and his allies are trying to intimidate voters and undermine confidence in our elections, but Democrats are fighting back on every front,” DNC Chair Ken Martin told me. “We’re taking them to court to protect voting rights and we are also training, recruiting, and deploying tens of thousands of observers across the country while partnering with communities nationwide to ensure Americans can vote freely and fairly without fear of intimidation.”

All the planning and preparation may be paying dividends.

Federal law prohibits “troops or armed men at any place where a general or special election is held.” It’s a law with a five-year statute of limitations, which means violations of the law in 2026 could be prosecuted by an administration elected in 2028. This is the reason Arizona Secretary of State Adrian Fontes told me that, while his staff has attended exercises wargaming ICE at the polls, he’s less concerned about it as a significant election issue. He says his planning includes working closely with the attorney general and governor’s office to include county and municipal law enforcement and counterterrorism officials in the state’s fusion center, the intelligence hub designed to respond to threats, “just to make sure we’re ready for any scenario and any threats or intimidation against our voters.”

“It seems unusual that we would need to prepare for threats from federal officers, but if that’s what this administration decides to do, we’ll be prepared to deal with it,” he said.

But if the system should be robust enough to protect against something like ICE agents swarming the polls, what about ICE agents taking it upon themselves to park near polling places in Latino-majority districts?

Nevada Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar said that is “definitely a real possibility. We do have to address it.” He told me Nevada’s Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo has repeatedly said, both in public and in private, that he doesn’t want federal agents at the polls. Lombardo’s stance “gave cover to sheriffs in Washoe and Clark Counties to say, ‘This is not in our best interest as a community. Don’t do it.’” Aguilar added that Nevada, like several other states, recently passed legislation explicitly making it a state-level felony to intimidate poll workers.

Richer said that if these isolated but dangerous situations occurred, the media will be crucial.

“My bigger worry, if that happens, you all will have to figure out what is the responsible way to cover this such that you impress upon readers and viewers the extraordinarily unique situation we’re in,” Richer said, “but not give it more oxygen than necessary.”

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What Would Stephen Miller Do?

Mary Corcoran, executive director of the Save America Movement, said when she thinks about securing America’s democracy, she finds it useful to consider what Stephen Miller, Trump’s deputy chief of staff and policy impresario, would do. Then she thinks about how to counter it.

Corcoran, a former Democratic party staffer, returned to progressive political organizing after three decades in the private sector because she worried organizations like the DNC were too complacent. She envisioned the “fight back against MAGA as an American endeavor, not a political endeavor.”

One of the Save America Movement’s projects is Operation: Liberty, which sends volunteers, including clergy, veterans, and health care workers in “Liberty Vans,” named after the Second World War–era Liberty ships, to document ICE abuses and de-escalate situations where possible. Save America began the project in late 2025, sending observers to Los Angeles, where the Trump administration deployed the California National Guard as well as 700 marines alongside ICE.

Since then, Operation: Liberty has operated in eleven cities, and the Save America Movement is planning to expand the strategy in its Vote Safe campaign aiming to protect majority Latino, Asian, and black counties in Michigan, Ohio, North Carolina, and Georgia from federal interference.

“I think that fear exists and we have to work on overcoming that fear regardless of if an agent shows up,” Corcoran said. “Their main tool is to instill fear, they could do those things to level up fear, so how do you counteract it? People are less afraid when they feel they’re less alone.”

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Katie Zacharia’s Problem Is That She’s Bad at Lying

16 October 2026 at 15:25

We’ve come a long way since Jordan Peele’s 2018 PSA warning about the future of political deepfakes. Back then, everyone assumed that AI-faked video would mostly be the work of nefarious outside actors. Today, a remarkable chunk of the political ecosystem has openly embraced them, particularly on the right. The New York Times reports today that candidates and PACs, predominantly Republican ones, have already spent more than $137 million1 airing AI-generated ads this year alone. About 70 percent of the ads, they found, “contained no disclaimer that AI was used.” Happy Friday.


Join Catherine Rampell and JVL for Receipts Live at 12:30 p.m. EDT today on Substack and YouTube.


White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia arrives for her first news briefing at the White House on October 13, 2026. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Post-Truth Press Secretary

by Andrew Egger

The new White House press secretary doesn’t have the one skill Trump’s top flack needs. She just can’t lie good.

Katie Zacharia’s first few days on the job have become dominated by her halting, changing responses to accusations that she spent years falsely claiming to be a lawyer, even though she has never been admitted to the bar in any state and never practiced law. Asked Tuesday when she had passed the bar, she replied “when I went to China.” On Wednesday, she insisted she had misheard the question and had thought she was simply asking what she had done after law school.

Then, yesterday, she did a damage-control tour of conservative media, sitting for interviews with Fox News’s Sean Hannity and MAGA conspiracy theorist Jack Posobiec. She insisted in these interviews that legal experts had assured her she could call herself a “lawyer” so long as she never used the (she said) more specific term “attorney.”

This is a silly dodge: In America, “lawyer” and “attorney” are synonyms. And it’s not a good excuse either: CNN promptly found at least fifteen times since last year that Zacharia had shared posts describing her as an “attorney.”

Katie Zacharia’s job is to lie to you. Our job is to tell you the truth—about the world, the state of our country, and what we really think. Join us.

Even Hannity, far from giving her the softball primetime interview she plainly had hoped for, struck a prickly, skeptical tone last night: “Why get into this long, drawn-out thing about the difference between a lawyer and an attorney?” he asked. He then asked her point-blank about the CNN “attorney” report. “I think they were retweets,” Zacharia blustered, “and I corrected the record and said that I was not endorsing the title, they were retweets of a title that had been given.” As Judd Legum, who broke the story of Zacharia’s resume embellishment, pointed out, she shared one of these tweets just last week.

None of this, of course, reflects particularly well on Zacharia’s honesty and character. Just as importantly, it is terrible comms work. Being able to navigate through stories like this in a disciplined, low-drama way is the single most important requirement for her new job.2 But instead of competently smothering the story, she has prolonged it, her multiple ridiculous “explanations,” each debunked faster than the last, just dragging out the embarrassment.

Put another way: Zacharia’s dishonesty isn’t the reason her job is in trouble. Being dishonest without seeming to is a big part of the job! The problem isn’t that she’s a liar, it’s that she’s a bad liar. Neither Hannity or Trump or anybody in MAGA cares that she lied on her résumé. What they care about is her clumsiness in explaining that now. Because a person who can’t even wriggle out of a little lie like that is going to get completely tangled when it comes time to defend way bigger whoppers in the White House briefing room.

Recall here that Trump picked Zacharia for the job on gut instinct, after seeing her appearances on TV. He made the choice over the objections of White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, who thought that CNN commentator Scott Jennings—a truly seasoned, deft liar—would be the superior choice.

“I would not be surprised if he happened to be meeting with her and just decided right then and there to give her the job, without much input or vetting,” Stephanie Grisham, one of Trump’s first-term press secretaries, told me.

Some in the White House who have chafed at Wiles’s leadership were enthused about the move: “Susie wanted someone who would be loyal to her and instead Trump chose someone loyal to him, as it should be,” an administration source told the Daily Mail this week. “He is taking back control, and it is starting to feel more like the first term.” (No argument there.)

What Trump wants and what Trump needs from the people around him aren’t always the same thing. Trump picked Zacharia because she’s a sycophant in his preferred mold. And he thinks she fights hard. But there’s a difference between fighting hard and fighting well. A press secretary who can’t lie convincingly won’t cut it.


A Tip of the Cap to No Kings

by William Kristol

Earlier this week, I asked if a reinvigorated liberalism is possible. I think it is, and urged us to “look abroad,” at the examples of Volodymyr Zelensky, and Péter Magyar, Mark Carney, and Pope Leo XIV, all admirably “strong and confident defenders of liberty.”

And I added,

But you know what else gives me hope for a revitalized liberalism? The American people, or at least an increasing percentage of them. Seeing support for President Trump collapse among the public—with very little help from our pitifully complacent and fearful elites—is heartening. Even inspiring.

And tomorrow, it will be inspiring to once again see millions of Americans show up at No Kings rallies. Because before the polls changed, before the gradual move of the public away from Trump, there were the efforts of the No Kings organizers. There were the peaceful and patriotic demonstrations of the participants. Before it was fashionable, No Kings was there.

The first of the No Kings demonstrations, on June 14, 2025, was organized in response to Trump’s military march in Washington that he’d timed—monarchically—to coincide with his birthday. At the time, according to the New York Times average of the polls, Trump had 44 percent approval and 52 percent disapproval. Anti-Trump elites were engaged in hand-wringing over his apparently unshakable hold on the public. Other elites were busy accommodating Trump. But five million Americans turned out to protest.

The second No Kings gatherings took place four months later, on October 18, 2025. Trump’s approval had barely budged: 43 percent approval to 53 percent disapproval. But turnout at the demonstrations across the nation surged to about seven million Americans. And in Virginia, where I live, there were indications of a big Democratic victory coming at the polls two weeks hence, and a sense that the tide might be turning.

The third day of No Kings rallies occurred this spring, on March 28, 2026, a month after Trump launched the Iran war. They were the largest yet, attracting around 8 million people. The mood was determined but somewhat upbeat, despite all of the depredations of the Trump administration at home and abroad. And it was clear that Trump’s popularity was finally dropping. He was by then at 40 percent approval and 56 percent disapproval, en route to his current 37 percent approval and 60 percent disapproval.

Tomorrow, we’ll get together once again under the rubric of No Kings. The focus this time is less on protesting the Trump administration and more on the practical task of encouraging and aiding voter turnout for the midterms.

As the No Kings coalition website explains,

No Kings: Vote Early is the next step of reclaiming our power after a year of mass mobilizations. It’s a day of nonpartisan voter participation, being in community with each other, and making sure every eligible voter has a plan, knows their options, and is ready to make their voice count.

The events around the country tomorrow will be less dramatic, and probably won’t get quite the numbers the earlier ones did. But they will be the culmination of a genuinely impressive and important effort on behalf of our democracy and our freedom.

I’ll be there tomorrow. And I’ll take a moment to tip my Bulwark baseball cap to No Kings.

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AROUND THE BULWARK


Quick Hits

FUN WITH ROLLS: Donald Trump’s war on mail-in ballots continues. Yesterday, the Trump administration sued the state of California, asking a judge to block the counting of mail-in ballots from around 20,000 California residents it considers “likely” to be non-citizens. Earlier this week, California election officials received the list of supposedly suspect voters on a thumb drive, along with a demand from the Justice Department to remove them from the state’s voter rolls within 48 hours. But Secretary of State Shirley Weber said that Justice had provided no evidence that the persons named in the list were non-citizens—and noted that, when the Department of Homeland Security sent a similar list with similar demands to Nevada last month, state officials ultimately determined that every person listed was in fact a citizen. The AP has more:

The letter sent by acting Deputy Attorney General Trent McCotter gave the state 48 hours to research the list of the 20,000 people it claims might not be citizens. For those whose citizenship cannot be independently verified, the state is to instruct local election officials to segregate their mail-in ballots until their status can be determined, and to not provide a ballot to anyone who has not yet received one.

California Attorney General Rob Bonta said at an unrelated press conference Thursday morning that state officials would not carry out the federal government’s requests to withhold ballots for the alleged noncitizen voters. He noted that the administration’s alleged number of noncitizens on the state’s voter rolls had dropped from the 190,000 flagged over the summer by the Department of Homeland Security to the 20,000 noted by the Justice Department.

One thing after another with these guys. Read the whole thing.


RED HOPIUM: The polls look terrible for Republicans. But Republicans have one reason to console themselves: How many times lately have the polls been flat wrong? Here’s Politico:

Polling over the last decade has struggled to capture Republican voters. The data underestimated Trump’s support in 2016, 2020 and 2024, and Republicans argue similar errors could be happening again this cycle, particularly in competitive Senate races.

“Polling is getting much more difficult to do,” said veteran GOP strategist Karl Rove, adding that if the polls reflect Democratic overperformance “then every one of these races that we’re talking about today—Texas, Michigan, Maine, Alaska, Iowa—they’re all within the margin of error.”

As Nate Silver has pointed out, “The polls have overestimated Democrats for three presidential elections in a row” (emphasis added). But “Polls in the 2018 and 2022 midterms did much better.”

One GOP strategist told Politico that the polls are so Democrat-favored right now that they suggest a change in the electorate “as profound as those seen after Watergate and 9/11”—and surely that hasn’t happened, right? “You’d have to presuppose we’re staring down the barrel of a generational national trauma that no one is aware of,” the strategist said.

Now, look: We’ll be the first to admit that you’d have to be crazy to have tremendous confidence in polling at this moment in time. But is it really so ridiculous to think that the catastrophic crackup of Donald Trump’s political movement—the most potent force in politics over the last decade—is driving some pretty remarkable political realignments? Read the whole thing.

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Cheap Shots

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1

Correction (October 16, 2026, 10:52 a.m. EDT): As originally published, this sentence misstated the amount of political spending on AI-generated ads as $137, rather than $137 million.

2

Even slavish loyalty to Trump isn’t of any use if she’s spending all her time talking about herself.

Book a Room at the ‘Haunted Hotel’

16 October 2026 at 12:01
Netflix’s ‘Haunted Hotel.’

I’m rejoined this week by Matt Roller, the showrunner of Netflix’s Haunted Hotel, to discuss the second season of his hit animated show. We talked about the difficulties of getting a new season done in just one year, how the fandom has reacted to the show (and why he tries to avoid letting the fanfic influence his work), and whether or not season three is on the way. If you haven’t watched Haunted Hotel and are a fan of similar shows like Bob’s Burgers or Futurama, you should really check it out. And if you enjoyed this episode, I hope you share it with a friend!

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GOP’s Top GOTV Operative Employed an Organizer Convicted of Strangulation

16 October 2026 at 11:30
(Photo illustration by Bill Kuchman/The Bulwark | Photos: Getty, Shutterstock)

ONE OF THE REPUBLICAN PARTY’S most prominent voter-registration activists has paid multiple people with criminal records to run get-out-the-vote operations in Pennsylvania since 2024.

Scott Presler, a key Trump-era GOP operative, hired as contractors a man who pleaded guilty to strangulation and a former nurse practitioner who falsified prescriptions for opioids and ran a million-dollar operation to distribute fraudulent COVID vaccine cards. These personnel, whose backgrounds were uncovered in an investigation by The Bulwark, were engaged through Presler’s super PAC, Early Vote Action.

Presler has had these people working for him, notably, even as he has spent time in the past month accusing a Democratic congressional candidate of employing a canvasser who was arrested for indecent exposure—an accusation that, upon closer scrutiny, appears untrue.

Presler and his political operation have already faced criticism this election cycle for their get-out-the-vote operations. That criticism has come even from within the Republican party. Earlier this year, Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) called Presler—who backed Ken Paxton in this year’s Texas Republican Senate primary—a “grifter.” But these new revelations further call into question not only Early Vote Action’s hiring practices but also Presler’s own credibility.

A dive into Presler’s operations shows that

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So Many Bad Things

16 October 2026 at 05:20

Sarah and JVL talk about:

  • The Media obsessing over the wrong problem with Katie Zacharias.

  • The Alina Habba - Ric Grenell cage match.

  • Kimberly Guilfoyle’s stylist Ruby Rhod Fancy James.

  • Another big inflation jump.

And that’s before they get into Senate polling numbers looking really bad for Republicans. You want schadenfreude with a side of hopeium? The best friends have you covered.

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Show notes:

  • If you have questions for Tim, Sarah and JVL, send them to nextlevel@thebulwark.com and they may answer them on an upcoming episode of TNL.

The Secret Podcast with JVL and Sarah is exclusively for members of Bulwark+. Upgrade now to watch (or listen) to this episode and join the Secret community in the comments. New shows drop each Friday. Ride with us!


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The Trio: MAGA Influencers Are Running for Cover After Talarico Smear Collapses

16 October 2026 at 02:49

Look, we’ll keep this simple: It’s the Trio. Uncut, ad-free, and uncensored. There could not possibly be a better reason to become a paid member of The Bulwark.

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Sam Stein, Tim Miller, and Will Sommer give an update on the MAGA influencers caught pushing a false story about Texas Democrat James Talarico, and why those behind the smear may face few consequences. They also examine court documents revealing how Kristi Noem and Corey Lewandowski allegedly fed false information to Laura Loomer to smear a government employee, raising questions about how political disinformation spreads without traditional media scrutiny.

Plus, the trio breaks down Ben Shapiro’s growing conservative movie business, including why Hollywood stars like Rob Lowe are signing on to his films. And an update on Anthony Constantino, a Trump-obsessed Republican whose rap songs and devotion to the president have drawn attention to his campaign for Congress.

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Just. So. Much. Corruption.

16 October 2026 at 01:01
(Photo illustration by Bill Kuchman/The Bulwark | Photos: Getty, Shutterstock)

DONALD TRUMP IS ROBBING Americans blind, and even Republicans are starting to notice.

You may recall that back in March, there were some suspiciously timed, uncannily lucrative oil and stock trades. About fifteen minutes before Trump abruptly announced he was retracting some threats against Iran, billions of dollars’ worth of contracts were placed on bets that oil prices would fall and the S&P 500 would jump. And those lucky bastards turned out to be right!

Less known was that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, a federal regulator that supervises futures markets, began a preliminary investigation of the suspicious trading volume surge. But according to a bombshell story this week from Bloomberg, a senior adviser to the Trump-appointed CFTC chairman subsequently “intervened” and told them to lay off. Staff had made a referral to CFTC’s internal enforcement division to launch a full-scale insider trading investigation; they were ordered to retract it.

If this was a case of insider trading—and there are some beet-red flags to suggest it was—it would not be a victimless crime. There were losers on the other side of those bets, the chumps whom the insiders got to steal money from by virtue of having an inside line to the White House.

Sure, some of those chumps might have been rich, unsympathetic Wall Street traders; but some of them might have been your pension fund.

Were this an isolated incident, it would be bad enough: Trump and/or his cronies may have used access to market-moving information to enrich themselves, and the Trump-appointed regulators made sure none of their actions were properly investigated.

But this sort of apparent malfeasance looks like one of the defining characteristics of the Trump era.

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For months Trump Media has been trying to shake down Wall Street firms for early access to Trump’s Truth Social posts. The idea being to more formally monetize insider access, and give Trump a cut. As San Francisco City Attorney David Chiu, who is suing Trump Media on behalf of Californians, put it: “Trump Media created a marketplace that enables insider trading, which Trump directly profits from. . . . Californians should not be forced to compete against wealthy trading firms buying early access to market‑moving information.”

This is public robbery, and it isn’t confined to selling early information about administration decisions to allies and eager profiteers. Under this administration, selling out American voters is a going concern.

To wit, check out these two stories from just this Wednesday:

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DHS Raids Ilhan Omar’s Home. Weissmann Smells a Rat.

16 October 2026 at 00:51

Let’s be clear about what we’re doing here. The Bulwark exists to fight authoritarianism and defend American democracy. We do that with reporting, analysis, accountability, and by building a community of people who refuse to look away or pretend this is normal. If you believe this fight matters, join Bulwark+ and help us do the work.

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Sarah Longwell and Andrew Weissmann discuss the FBI raid on Ilhan Omar, Trump’s latest overtures to Putin, and the courts’ efforts to stop his taxpayer-funded campaign ads. Plus, Weissmann explains why simply ordering Trump to stop breaking the rules isn’t enough, and whether DOJ lawyers pursuing politically motivated prosecutions could eventually face disbarment.

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James Talarico Utterly Dismantled a Republican’s Religious Ambush (w/ George Conway)

15 October 2026 at 21:04

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Mike Johnson sure sounds afraid of what might come out when the House—under Democratic control—actually does its job and investigates the corruption of this administration. Democrats should start with the families of Trump officialdom who've been making bank since Inauguration Day. And as the Guilfoyle firing shows, everyone in Trumpland is expendable. Plus: Republicans have got nothing to offer voters but bribery and bigotry, Talarico shows the right way to disarm MAGA lies, the Elon-Putin-Trump Axis of Evil is together again, and George—in his first week back with The Bulwark—passed a cognitive test just like our president.

George Conway joins Tim Miller.

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Iowa Wonders: What Happens If Grassley Dies?

15 October 2026 at 21:03
(Photo illustration by Bill Kuchman/The Bulwark | Photos: Getty, Shutterstock)

Seniors of the Corn

Cedar Falls and Mason City, Iowa
“We should have term limits for politicians,” said Rob Sand, the Democratic candidate for governor of Iowa, during remarks to a group of college students. He then offered his young audience a bit of fan service: “Also, age limits, anybody?”

After some applause, Sand continued: “There is a certain point at which we should just have a rule that says, ‘Hey, I’m sure you’re doing great. We just don’t wanna have another four or six years of crossing our fingers and hoping you’re gonna continue to do great for another four or six years.’”

Age is a political topic on everyone’s mind in Iowa lately, despite the fact that the state’s candidates for Senate and governor are all quite young. The oldest of the bunch, Democratic Senate nominee Josh Turek, is only 47, which puts him close to the generational boundary between his Gen X cohort and Millennials. But Iowans with age-related concerns aren’t thinking about Turek. They’re thinking about Chuck Grassley.

Iowa’s senior senator first won a race for public office during the Eisenhower administration. He offered a rare acknowledgment of his age a few weeks ago while encouraging people to vote for Zach Lahn, the Republican nominee for governor.

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