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From Martial Law to Banning Voting Machines, Election Skeptics Urge Trump to Take Extreme Action

14 October 2026 at 15:41

This article was originally published by Votebeat, a nonprofit news organization covering local election administration and voting access. Sign up for their free weekly newsletter to get the latest.

Since being released early from prison in June, former Colorado election clerk Tina Peters has been granted extraordinary access to the halls of power in Washington.

Peters said she has traveled to Washington seven times, visited the White House at least twice, and met with senior officials at the Justice and Commerce departments — remarkable access for someone on parole after a 2024 felony conviction for tampering with voting machines in an attempt to show that the 2020 election was rigged against President Donald Trump.

She’s a high-profile example of a group of Trump supporters and conservative activists trying to lay out a roadmap for the president to follow. They are urging him to take more extreme steps to try and influence the outcome of an election that many polls suggest could end Republican control of Congress. But as the election closes in, the activists are now voicing increasing concerns that the president and his administration aren’t going to act on their ideas.

We Now Know Just How Devastating the Supreme Court’s Voting Rights Rulings Were

This book excerpt is part of Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis.

On June 25, 2013, the Roberts Court handed down their decision in Shelby County v. Holder. The 5-4 decision gutted the Voting Rights Act of 1965’s “preclearance” condition, which required states and localities with a history of racial discrimination in voting practices to get permission from the federal government before they could change any policy related to their elections. The country had changed dramatically, Chief Justice Roberts wrote for the majority; the “strong medicine” of the Voting Rights Act, he argued, was no longer needed, let alone justified. But Michael G. Miller and I show throughout our new book, An American Problem: How the Country Built – and the Supreme Court Broke — The Voting Rights Act just how misguided that reasoning was. In the parts of the country freed from preclearance by Shelby County, our electoral institutions have grown demonstrably less open to Americans of color.

When Mike and I started working on what would become An American Problem, a promise made by Justice Roberts in Shelby County still held. “Section 2” of the 1965 Voting Rights Act, he wrote — the section containing the tools allowing litigators to attack election laws and policies that disproportionately harmed voters of color ± “is permanent and applies nationwide.” Although the Shelby County majority was happy to invalidate the preclearance regime that June morning, they told the country that tools remained still for removing discriminatory laws from the statute books.

But this is no longer the case.

Trump’s Big Attempt To Be Savvier About Stealing the Election This Time Around Failed

24 September 2026 at 20:13

Hello, and Welcome Back to the Franchise

Just over a week since the Supreme Court rejected the Trump administration’s effort to take over and/or break mail-in voting, I still don’t think the magnitude of the president’s loss has been recognized.

6 other ways Trump is meddling in the midterms

15 September 2026 at 23:35
A person stuffs a ballot inside an envelope
Mail-in ballots are prepared at the Wake County Board of Elections in Raleigh, North Carolina on September 11, 2026. | Allison Joyce/Bloomberg via Getty Images

This story appeared in Today, Explained, a daily newsletter that helps you understand the most compelling news and stories of the day. Subscribe here.

The recent history of mail voting in the United States has more twists and turns than an Emmy-winning drama. But for the cause of democracy, at least, yesterday’s ending is a happy one.

On Monday, the Supreme Court definitively blocked President Donald Trump’s many attempts to sabotage voting by mail — opining, in a three-sentence brief, that Trump can’t implement his new rules for the 2026 midterms. Or for any election, probably. 

Those last-minute rules, you may recall, would have required states to adopt new ballot envelopes and upload absentee voters’ names and envelope barcodes to a still-nonexistent online platform. Many officials argued they couldn’t possibly adopt the new measures before midterm voting starts, which would essentially cancel mail-in voting in their jurisdictions. 

The Supreme Court, of course, has been broadly sympathetic to Trump’s legal antics, even when they appear to clearly flout law or precedent. But shutting down voting just before the midterms? That’s one bridge too far for them.

Go a little deeper

Hobbling vote-by-mail was just one of Trump’s plots to meddle in the midterms, however — and several of the others are still underway. Here’s where some of the president’s most significant election maneuvers stand today: 

How worried should you be going into the midterms? That, my friend, is a question to answer in your own little heart. But I’m taking my cues from Vox’s politics editorial director, Benjy Sarlin, who recently reminded listeners of our America, Actually podcast that there are many, many institutional and logistical barriers to many of Trump’s more concerning legal machinations. 

“We’re taking it very seriously here…and nothing’s guaranteed,” he said. “But it is still a very difficult path [where] so far he has had zero success.”

One link for later

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Before you go…

  • Did you know…that American founding father Thomas Jefferson was obsessed with mastodons? It’s actually one of the reasons that he sent Lewis and Clark on their famous expedition.
  • Today’s trivia: Which English-language remake of an older French film won the Academy Award for Best Picture in 2022? (You can find this and other brain puzzles in Vox’s daily crossword. Look for the answer in tomorrow’s edition.)
  • Yesterday’s trivia: Yesterday we asked you for the former pro hockey player who founded a major Canadian restaurant chain. That would be Tim Horton, whose eponymous cafes have occasionally gotten snarled in the trade spat between Canada and the United States.

Republicans suffered a stunning Supreme Court loss. It lasted minutes.

9 September 2026 at 19:45
Justice Brett Kavanaugh
For once, Justice Brett Kavanaugh did the right thing. It may not matter. | Aaron Schwartz/AFP via Getty Images

For several minutes on Tuesday evening, Democrats thought they’d actually scored an important legal victory — and in an election case to boot! But then a single Trump-appointed judge cast a cloud of doubt over that victory, and potentially threw Missouri’s upcoming congressional elections into chaos.

Last Thursday, the Missouri Supreme Court effectively halted a 2025 state law that would have redrawn the state’s congressional maps to give Republicans an extra seat in the US House. Republicans, along with Missouri’s Republican Secretary of State Denny Hoskins, immediately ran to the US Supreme Court, hoping that the Court’s 6-3 Republican majority would order the state to use the new, more GOP friendly maps.

But the Court didn’t just reject the GOP’s request, it did so in the most dismissive way possible. The Court’s order was exactly six words long — “Application (26A304) denied by Justice Kavanaugh” — and it notably was only attributed to one justice, Brett Kavanaugh. The Court’s procedures sometimes allow a single justice to dispose of a case, but the justices rarely invoke this process unless they view the matter as so one-sided that there’s no need to formally involve their colleagues.

This case is known as Hoskins v. von Glahn.

But then, just minutes after the ruling, Judge Stephen Clark, a federal district judge in Missouri, ordered the state to use the GOP-friendly maps after all. Though Clark’s case involves different parties — the lead plaintiff in Clark’s case is a Republican member of Congress, not Hoskins — the legal issues in both cases are virtually identical. And Clark’s opinion even acknowledges that, shortly before he ruled, Kavanaugh denied Republicans the very same victory that Clark wants to give them.

Clark’s case, which is currently on appeal to the US Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit, is known as Onder v. Missouri.

It’s the latest round of chaos to emerge from what is likely to be an unusually chaotic round of preelection litigation. Both Missouri cases arise out of the Republican Party’s decision to launch a gerrymandering war in advance of those midterms, a war that Democrats have fought back against with limited success. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump and his administration have also implemented several new policies that appear designed to skew the election toward the GOP, including Trump’s attempt to sabotage voting by mail, which is currently pending before the Supreme Court.

It’s a terrible time, in other words, to be an election official. State election administrators should expect to spend the next two months buffeted by competing court orders, uncertain rules, and new policies that cannot possibly be legal. They should expect both Trump administration officials and state and federal judges to bombard them with commands that a ballot must be altered, or voters must be denied their right to vote — only to have those commands contradicted by new court orders that may themselves be tossed out on appeal.

For now, for example, it’s unclear which maps Missouri is supposed to use in the upcoming midterms. And the final result in this case will likely turn on why Kavanaugh issued such a dismissive order in the Hoskins case.

Kavanaugh may have ruled against Hoskins because Hoskins created the problem he wants the Court to solve

In both Hoskins and Onder, Republicans raise three separate constitutional arguments that, they claim, require Missouri to use the new maps in this year’s midterms. The Hoskins case, however, is unique in that Denny Hoskins, the Republican elected official who formally sought the Supreme Court’s review in that case, may be the worst possible person to make such a request.

Hoskins opens his brief to the Supreme Court with an alarming statement: “A federal-election-administration disaster is unfolding in Missouri.” But as the state supreme court determined, this problem is entirely Hoskins’s fault. The man literally asked the US Supreme Court to save Missouri from a “disaster” that he created.

Missouri’s Republican legislature enacted the new maps on September 12, 2025. However, under the state constitution, Missouri voters could trigger a ballot referendum on these new maps, provided that they submit “petitions signed by five percent of the legal voters in each of two-thirds of the congressional districts in the state” by a certain deadline. Opponents of the new maps met this deadline, submitting their petitions on December 9, 2025. 

Significantly, the Missouri Constitution also provides that once a referendum is triggered, the law that is subject to the referendum does not take effect, and will not take effect unless it is approved by a majority of the state’s voters. So, under the state constitution, the new maps are not law, and they will not become law unless voters approve them in the upcoming general election.

Thus, as the state supreme court noted in its unanimous opinion in Hoskins, “this case involves a straightforward question of law.” The state constitution prevents laws subject to referendums from taking effect (with limited exceptions that don’t apply here), the state law creating the new maps are subject to a referendum, therefore that law is not in effect. QED.

But why did it take so long for the state supreme court to reach this straightforward result? The short answer is that opponents of the new maps asked the state court to rule sooner, but in a May 12, 2026 opinion, the Missouri Supreme Court determined that it could not rule on whether the new maps are in effect until after Hoskins issued his own ruling on whether a referendum was properly triggered — pointing to a state law that permits lawsuits to be filed in the 10 days after the secretary of state rules on the referendum.

That May decision, however, also warned Hoskins that if the “petition filing is ultimately determined to be sufficient,” then that would mean that the new maps cannot be used in the 2026 election because the law authorizing those maps is not in effect.

Nevertheless, Hoskins waited until August 4, the last possible date that he could rule on the petitions seeking a referendum — and also the date of the state’s primary election — to issue a ruling against the referendum. The state supreme court’s opinion from last Thursday holds that Hoskins was wrong to reject the petitions, and thus the new maps never took effect.

We are now just two months from the November election, yet the state supreme court abruptly required Missouri to use different maps than the ones it used during the recent primary election. This situation is genuinely very bad, because it will be difficult for the state’s election officials to reshuffle voters into their correct congressional districts before the election takes place. 

It also means that, assuming that the Missouri Supreme Court’s decision stands, some voters will vote in a different district than the one they voted in in the recent 2026 primary election.

Incredibly, Hoskins actually argued in the state supreme court that it could not suspend the new maps so late in the game. As Judge Ginger Gooch wrote in response, this argument is “particularly misplaced given the secretary’s delay created the confusion, expense, and practical difficulties of which he complains.”

So one possible explanation for Kavanaugh’s unexplained order ruling against Hoskins is that Kavanaugh did not believe that Hoskins had any business asking the Court to fix a problem that he created. Courts often rule against litigants who have “unclean hands,” meaning that they contributed to the problem they want the court to fix.

But, if that’s the case, then it’s still possible that Republicans could prevail in Onder, because the plaintiffs in that case did not personally create the problems that the GOP now complains about.

Alternatively, Kavanaugh may have ruled against the GOP because he thought their legal arguments are garbage

The other possible explanation for Kavanaugh’s decision in Hoskins is that the justice believed that the GOP’s legal arguments were weak.

Republicans make three arguments in favor of their preferred maps, two of which overlap considerably.

Their first argument rests on a discredited legal theory known as the “independent state legislature doctrine” (“ISLD”). In its strongest form, this doctrine claims that state legislatures have virtually unchecked power to set the rules governing federal elections, and that this power cannot be limited by a state governor’s veto, by a ballot referendum, by a state constitution, or by a state court.

But the Supreme Court first rejected this theory in 1916, and it has done so many times since then — most recently in its 2023 decision in Moore v. Harper (though Moore did open the door to a weaker version of the ISLD that does not apply to either of the Missouri cases). Notably, even Clark rejected the GOP’s ISLD argument in his Onder opinion. So that is, hopefully, a sign that this particularly radical argument is unlikely to prevail in any court.

Clark, however, accepted the GOP’s other arguments, both of which claim that it is unconstitutional for Missouri to sort voters into different districts during a general election than the districts they voted in during the primary election. Clark’s opinion points to US v. Classic (1941), which held that “[w]here the state law has made the primary an integral part of the procedure of choice, … the right of the elector to have his ballot counted at the primary” is protected by the Constitution. 

He also claims that switching voters from one district to another is unconstitutional discrimination because it “creates two classes of voters: those who happen to stay in their HB 1 congressional districts, and those who do not.”

Neither of these arguments is particularly persuasive. Classic held that voters cannot be denied their right to vote in the primary, but no one claims that any of the votes that were lawfully cast during that primary were not counted. And Clark cites no legal authority that supports the proposition that the Constitution forbids discrimination on the basis of which district someone voted in during a primary election.

All laws engage in discrimination of some sort. Criminal legal codes discriminate against criminals and in favor of law-abiding individuals. Welfare laws discriminate against rich people and in favor of poor people to determine who receives benefits. Government employers may discriminate against unqualified applicants and in favor of job seekers who are well-suited for the job they seek. The mere fact that Missouri’s unusual situation sorts voters into “two classes” does not mean that this situation violates the Constitution.

Indeed, it’s not even all that unusual for the winner of a primary election to not appear on the ballot during the following general election — just ask Graham Platner. Like many states, Missouri law permits parties to replace the winner of a primary election on the ballot if their nominee “dies, is disqualified, or voluntarily withdraws.” But, if Clark is correct that the Constitution guarantees every voter a right to vote for the winner of the primary election in their same district, that means that this law is also unconstitutional.

Kavanaugh, in other words, may have looked at the GOP’s three substantive arguments in the Hoskins case and concluded that they were all so weak that he could simply dispose of the case without formally asking his colleagues to weigh in. If that’s true, Republicans should expect to lose again if the Onder case reaches the Supreme Court.

In the meantime, however, we can only guess why Kavanaugh ruled the way that he did. And Missouri election officials are stuck in limbo, unable to actually prepare for the upcoming election until they know which maps to use.

How freaked out should you be about Trump’s plot to disrupt mail voting?

2 September 2026 at 21:25
A United States Postal Service collection box
While the USPS rule is extremely bad, it’s not as bad as a whistleblower account might suggest. | Marcin Golba/NurPhoto via Getty Images

On Tuesday, Sen. Richard Blumenthal’s office published an alarming report from an anonymous whistleblower about the USPS’s role in the 2026 midterms. The report suggests the US Postal Service is rushing to implement a ballot-vetting system for the midterms that was inadequate and all but certain to reject large numbers of legitimate ballots. Moreover, the whistleblower alleged, they were doing this in violation of an explicit court order.

The immediate reaction from Democrats was shock. And indeed, if the whistleblower’s claims of court defiance were true, it would suggest the Trump administration was both attempting to sabotage the midterm elections and rejecting the authority of courts to stop them — basically, entering true dictator territory where law holds no meaning and the president feels free to blatantly rig elections.

But it is likely not true.

In reporting this piece, I spoke to several leading experts on election law and administration., not one of whom was sympathetic to Trump’s approach to voting by mail. None suggested that we had entered the realm of complete disregard of court orders, or that Trump appeared poised to implement this system in defiance of the Supreme Court if it rules against it. 

“This is not a clearcut case to me of defiance,” Rick Hasen, an election law expert at UCLA, said.

This is not to say that there’s nothing to worry about. There’s consensus among experts, both the ones I spoke with and the community in general, that the proposed USPS system would be extraordinarily burdensome to implement, in ways that could potentially compromise the fairness of the midterm elections. The whistleblower’s report is especially alarming on the details of this system, suggesting it’s even worse than many feared.

So if the Supreme Court overrules lower court stays, and allows the new rule to go forward, it would in all likelihood be a very serious problem in November.

But the Court’s conservative majority — or, more specifically, the more moderate of the right-wing judges — are the key X factor here, rather than a lawless Trump. And while the Court majority can be willing to bend over backward for Trump, there is at least good reason to think they won’t do so here. 

“The Court has repeatedly said we’re worried about intruding on how states run their elections,” said Derek Muller, a professor at Notre Dame Law School. 

The USPS rule, and the whistleblower allegations, explained

The new USPS rule for mail-in ballots was derived from a Trump executive order in March, but only formally finalized at the end of August. It radically expands the role of the Postal Service in US elections, taking it from a simple vehicle for distributing ballots to an oversight vehicle for assessing whether states are allowing unlawful ballots to go through.

Under the rule, state and local officials will be required to upload information from each mail voter’s name and address to a federal database. They will then be required to generate a unique barcode for each of these voters and put it on the envelope containing that voters’ ballot. The Postal Service will check ballots before they get to voters, scanning the envelope’s bar code to ensure that it’s going to the correct voter. If the ballot passes, it’ll go on to the voter. If it fails, it’ll get sent back to the election officials who mailed it for correction.

All of that sounds reasonable in theory. But the devil is in the details, and the details suggest that this plan would be a huge mess if it were allowed to go into effect for the midterms.

To make the new system work, envelopes need to be designed in a specific way that many local officials aren’t trained to do. The Postal Service system for generating scannable barcodes is really complicated — one experienced election official told me “my eyes glazed over” while attempting to navigate it. The federal database has not yet debuted, meaning that election officials have also had no training on it.

And according to the whistleblower, the system is not just burdensome — it might not even work. The federal database that matches barcodes to voters is untested; “multiple USPS officials” describe it as a “shit show.” As a result, it is both extremely likely to generate errors and at risk of “catastrophic failure” on a technical level.

Alarmingly, the system has been designed with what’s called a “zero percent failure rate” approach to ballot testing. The system will not scan each individual ballot; instead, it will scan samples of batches of ballots sent by state officials. Under the zero percent failure rate rule, if a single ballot fails the test, then the entire batch is sent back to state officials for reprocessing.

Given the rushed nature of the software development, and how difficult compliance is for election offices, the odds of there being one ballot that gets flagged in each batch are likely pretty high. That’s a recipe for large numbers of voters being denied mail ballots for weeks — and potentially never even receiving them.

At present, no local officials are using this system or even being trained on it. This is because a federal district judge has frozen the entire rule, concluding that it is unlawful for USPS to get this involved in regulating local elections.

However, it appears that work is proceeding at USPS on developing the system. This, the whistleblower claims, is a direct violation of the court order.

“After an initial pause of approximately one month, USPS leadership ordered employees to resume development of the election ballot mail IT system systems on or about a month ago, while the injunction was in effect,” the complaint alleges.

The USPS rule may well never go into effect

It’s easy to look at this fact pattern and conclude that the Trump administration is illegally designing a system for stealing the election. But before we even get to the question of how bad the rule would be, we have to remember that it is currently blocked by the courts — and that block is likely to soon become permanent.

Fears of USPS going rogue and implementing it in defiance of court orders are likely overblown for the simple reason that they are currently not doing that. 

According to Muller, the Notre Dame expert, it is not obviously illegal for the USPS to continue developing its system under current law. The most recent court stay, issued on August 27, holds that USPS must “take no further preparatory steps or implement in any way for elections occurring before or on November 3, 2026.” But building the IT infrastructure is not necessarily preparing it for the midterms; the government could plausibly argue that their work is geared towards implementation in future elections.

“I am reluctant to ascribe [defiance], at least based on this record,” Muller says. “There is no question they hope to implement this in 2026, but there are ways to take steps to implement it for 2028 and maybe be able to implement it for 2026 if the injunction was lifted.”

This matters a great deal. If USPS has gone fully rogue or lawless, it would mean they might simply implement this rule regardless of court orders. Since they’re clearly attempting to act within the letter of the law (if not its spirit), legal constraints appear operative — that we’re still somewhat within the realm of democracy and the rule of law, rather than dictatorial assertions of executive power to disrupt elections. 

The final word here will likely rest with the Supreme Court, who will almost certainly hear a case on the USPS rule before the elections.

The Court’s first ruling on this matter was a kind of confusing mess. It overruled a lower court stay on purely procedural grounds, but did not actually allow the rule to go into effect or weigh in on the legal merits of the rule itself. By the time the winding route of appeals reaches the Supreme Court, and then the justices issue their order, we’d be pretty close to Election Day — close enough that the disruptions from allowing the Postal Service to go forward would be pretty immense.

When you layer that on top of the quite strong statutory and constitutional arguments that this is outside USPS’ authority, legal experts think it’s likely that at least two of the court’s conservative justices would join the liberals in blocking the rule. But likely is not certain; the Court has certainly issued shockingly disruptive rulings in favor of Trump and his administration before.

How bad would it be if the rule went through?

Let’s say the Supreme Court does bless the new USPS rule. What would be the likely consequences?

One theory is that Trump would basically be stealing the midterms. Democrats are more likely to vote by mail by Republicans, and this system would seemingly radically disrupt mail-in voting across the country — suggesting it would be an effective tool for rigging the elections in Trump’s favor.

But while the USPS rule is extremely bad, it’s not as bad as this alarmist account might suggest.

There is no doubt that the rule would be extraordinarily disruptive, especially in states like Oregon that vote almost entirely by mail. Tammy Patrick, one of the country’s leading experts on mail voting, has written that it would be “effectively impossible” for local officials to follow the rule’s procedures close to Election Day — noting that North Carolina, the first state to mail ballots, will have already sent them out on September 4, before the rule could possibly take effect.

But the level of disruption to the midterms would depend a lot on specifics of timing and training we can’t predict, as well as the feasibility of possible alternatives. Local election offices could mail ballots using FedEx or UPS rather than USPS. If that pushed their already-tight budgets too far, state governments could provide emergency financial support and/or organize a surge in election volunteers to stand up new in-person polling stations.

Moreover, we don’t know what the effect on the partisan lean of the elections would be.

The mere fact that Democrats vote more by mail than Republicans doesn’t mean that Democrats would be more likely to be affected by this rule than Republicans. Currently, Democrats tend to win voters who are highly engaged and informed — the kind of voters who, if voting by mail becomes too difficult, would wait in line to vote in person. Republicans, by contrast, increasingly rely on low-propensity voters who are more likely to give up if they can’t vote in the most convenient possible manner.

“This is kind of a flawed political strategy wrapped in a rather vocally charged policy from the president,” Ben Ginsberg, a longtime GOP election attorney, told CNN. “Republican operatives in the states know that putting up those barriers to that part of the Republican base makes Republican turnout less likely.”

None of this is to downplay the risks of the USPS rule. There are plenty of worst-case scenarios in which this causes massive disruptions to elections, including in critical states, that majorly slow down ballot delivery or effectively disenfranchise thousands of voters. And even the best-case scenarios would be extremely expensive and time consuming, likely having all sorts of negative consequences we can’t even predict.

But to say that it would be tantamount to canceling the midterms or handing it to Republicans, as some have, is getting well beyond what current evidence suggests.

So we have to right-size our concerns here.

There is an entirely plausible world in which the Supreme Court green-lights the USPS rule and, as a consequence, the midterms are plagued by implementation difficulties that effectively disenfranchise a significant number of Americans. This would be seriously damaging to American democracy, to put it mildly, but there are also good reasons to envision a happier ending: that the Court won’t approve the rule, and that its consequences might be mitigated even if they do.

The correct attitude is thus neither complacency nor dooming. Americans should prepare for significant disruption to our voting system, to begin contingency planning in the event that things go wrong. They should do so with the belief that the voters, and not USPS or Trump or even the Supreme Court, are the ultimate actors in a democracy.

The plot to disrupt mail-in voting

1 September 2026 at 23:10
Mail-in ballots sit waiting to be processed by workers at the county election office in Salt Lake City, Utah on October 29, 2020. | George Frey/AFP via Getty Images

This story appeared in Today, Explained, a daily newsletter that helps you understand the most compelling news and stories of the day. Subscribe here.

It took the US government two years to roll out HealthCare.gov, nine months to pilot a direct tax-filing tool…and just 11 weeks to build a new system for processing Americans’ absentee ballots.

Before you cheer this rare instance of bureaucratic efficiency, however, please allow the other shoe to drop: That figure comes from an alarming new whistleblower report that foretells potential chaos in this fall’s midterm elections. 

According to the whistleblower, the US Postal Service has rushed out a janky, error-prone processing system in its mad dash to comply with President Donald Trump’s executive order on mail-in ballots. That order, currently paused, would require states to comply with new rules for preparing, tracking, and mailing ballots. Several states have since sued to stop it. 

If the order does go into effect, however, the Postal Service has to be prepared. So the agency scrambled to hack together its new system — forgoing standard testing procedures and adding requirements that are likely to hold up thousands of outbound ballots, the whistleblower says. 

According to the report, multiple USPS officials have described the system as “a shit show” that, as of late August, was apt to “completely crash.” “Move fast and break things” is actually not a great look for governments.

Go a little deeper

But the issue goes far beyond one IT meltdown at the post office, or even many IT meltdowns at many post offices. As my colleague Ian Millhiser has covered in depth, Trump’s March executive order could effectively end mail-in voting in several states by imposing a slate of last-minute requirements that election officials don’t have time to implement. 

Let’s just take the narrow issue of ballot envelopes. Trump’s executive order directed the post office to issue new rules about the design of those envelopes, which the post office did…on August 21.

The new rules required that ballot envelopes bear a unique barcode and a logo that the Trump administration claimed would “facilitate proper handling” of election mail. But by that point in the season, a number of states were already preparing to mail their midterm ballots. 

North Carolina starts mailing general election ballots this week, for instance. More than a dozen other states post theirs by late September. And even in the unlikely case that these states could design, order and distribute millions of compliant envelopes in the next few weeks…it’s not clear the post office could process them. 

Under the new system, the Postal Service must individually scan every outbound ballot as it heads to voters, a process that the Trump administration says will take “less than a minute” each. Across millions of ballots, however, “less than a minute” adds up: potentially to more than 380,000 hours, in California’s case. 

That’s enormously concerning, Ian writes. Should courts allow Trump’s order to go into effect, the states that can’t comply won’t be able to do mail-in voting this year. And there are a number of states — including Oregon, Washington, Hawaii, Colorado, Utah, and California — where the entire election is basically vote-by-mail. 

“I think it is more likely than not that SCOTUS does not back Trump’s play here. But you can never rule anything out with this Supreme Court,” Ian said.

One link for later

➨ Listen to “your true self.” In one social science experiment, researchers found that participants who were asked to make an arbitrary decision based on their “true selves” — as opposed to their “rational” brains — were much happier with their choices in the end. So the next time you face a tough decision or a moment of personal ambiguity, you might also consider asking: “What would my true self do today?”

Before you go…

  • Did you know…that Jennifer Lopez inspired Google’s image search feature? Former executives have said the company only prioritized the tool after JLo wore her famous green Versace dress to the Grammys in 2000.
  • Today’s trivia: What flower did the Aztecs believe could attract the souls of the dead? (You can find this and other brain puzzles in Vox’s daily crossword. Look for the answer in tomorrow’s edition.)
  • Yesterday’s trivia: Yesterday we asked you for Tokyo’s original name. That would be Edo. The city was renamed in 1868 as part of a larger political transformation that turned Japan into a modern global power. 
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